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Squad value

Squad value

MBcha

MBcha

"None of us is going anywhere"
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How much is our squad that was once famously valued at 75m now really worth?

I've grouped players based on contract expiry date and obviously all these figures are my opinion only.

I've tried to take position, age, experience, overall ability, injury record and contract length into consideration and as such all of the players with contracts set to expire this summer I've valued at £0 as we wouldn't be able to get a fee for them. I have also assumed that those with a 1 year option will not be extended.

2022 Expiry ​
Estimated Value​
Oliver Lombard£0
Matthew Hudson£0
Connor Ripley£0
Paul Huntington£0
Bambo Diaby£0
Joe Rafferty£0
Lewis Coulton£0
Jack Baxter£0
Tom Barkhuizen£0
Scott Sinclair£0
Ethan Walker£0
Izzy Brown£0
Jamie Thomas£0
Jacob Hol-Wilk£0
Joe Rodwell-Grant£0

2023 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Josh Earl£600k
Greg Cunningham£300k
Liam Lindsay£400k
Matthew Olosunde£250k
Ryan Ledson£1.5m
Daniel Johnson£3m
Tom Bayliss£250k
Adam O'Reilly£40k
Josh Harrop£100k
Ched Evans£400k
Sean Maguire£500k

2024 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Andrew Hughes£2m
Patrick Bauer£2.5m
Alan Browne£3.5m
Ben Whiteman£3m
Lewis Leigh£70k
Brad Potts£1.5m

2025 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Jordan Storey£2m
Ali McCann£3.5m
Emil Riis£5m

Total Estimated Squad Value £30.41m

There are clearly loads of factors that go into determining the value of a player, not least what the buying are prepared to pay or if they'd want to sign any of our players in the first place but I was just trying to figure out a ballpark value of our playing squad.

Im sure there are lots of values up there that posters will disagree with, I've tried to be as realistic as possible but have erred on the side of pessimistic overall with my valuations.

Thoughts?
 
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If we peg Riis at £5m I'd say the rest of the squad we could flog for between £10m-£12m, on a good day. We are still stocked to the teeth with guys who could only find roles in L1 and L2, and those club's will want to pay zero fees for them. So many of our players are effectively worth nothing.

I love the fact three of your highest value players are not here or not exactly playing much or getting hooked off first. Says a lot.
 
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Dreyfuss said:
If we peg Riis at £5m I'd say the rest of the squad we could flog for between £10m-£12m, on a good day. We are still stocked to the teeth with guys who could only find roles in L1 and L2, and those club's will want to pay zero fees for them. So many of our players are effectively worth nothing.
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Valid point and one I struggled to reflect in the values I gave in truth. You're quite right that we'd need buyers for any of these players and where'd they come from? I dont know...
 
SF said:
I'd value it below £15m right now.
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The pessimist in me did too, hence the thread as it got me thinking. I think really the only reason I got to the overall value that I did was nothing to do with quality and everything to do with quantity.
 
I’d say your valuations for Earl, Ledson, Potts and Hughes are very, very generous.

Players like Cunningham and Evans are next to worthless in terms of a transfer fee.

Storey is probably worth a quarter of the £2m you’ve valued him at. And tbh, I’d probably take £500k for him, with a few aspirational add-ons thrown in, should Sheff Wed offer us it in the summer.

For me, McCann, Riis, Johnson and Whiteman are the only players who would command a decent fee.
 
Dreyfuss said:
If we peg Riis at £5m I'd say the rest of the squad we could flog for between £10m-£12m, on a good day. We are still stocked to the teeth with guys who could only find roles in L1 and L2, and those club's will want to pay zero fees for them. So many of our players are effectively worth nothing.

I love the fact three of your highest value players are not here or not exactly playing much or getting hooked off first. Says a lot.
Click to expand...
This is the key, players are only really worth something if they’re a) under contract and b) desirable enough to other clubs for them to pay a chunk of cash for.

So while the likes of Lindsay may be sitting on a contract worth hundreds of thousands of pounds, he’s effectively worthless in the transfer market because no club will pay sterling to acquire a League One centre back on Championship wages.
 
I've had a go - I've tried to guess what someone would actually pay if we needed to get them off the books, which is realistically the only we're ever going to sell most of these guys.

Josh Earl£150k
Greg Cunningham£100k
Liam Lindsay£150k
Matthew Olosunde£150k
Ryan Ledson£500k
Daniel Johnson£750k
Tom Bayliss£150k
Adam O'Reilly£0k
Josh Harrop£0k
Ched Evans£100k
Andrew Hughes£750k
Patrick Bauer£750k
Alan Browne£750k
Ben Whiteman£1m
Lewis Leigh£100k
Brad Potts£750k
Jordan Storey£750k
Ali McCann£1m
Emil Riis£2m
Total:£10m approx.
 
Thracia said:
I've had a go - I've tried to guess what someone would actually pay if we needed to get them off the books, which is realistically the only we're ever going to sell most of these guys.

Josh Earl£150k
Greg Cunningham£100k
Liam Lindsay£150k
Matthew Olosunde£150k
Ryan Ledson£500k
Daniel Johnson£750k
Tom Bayliss£150k
Adam O'Reilly£0k
Josh Harrop£0k
Ched Evans£100k
Andrew Hughes£750k
Patrick Bauer£750k
Alan Browne£750k
Ben Whiteman£1m
Lewis Leigh£100k
Brad Potts£750k
Jordan Storey£750k
Ali McCann£1m
Emil Riis£2m
Total:£10m approx.
Click to expand...

I think we would command a much higher fee for DJ, Bauer, Browne, Whiteman and especially Riis but they are probably the only ones worth a decent amount in todays market.

Its probably around the £20m mark IMO. Most of which is Riis.
 
NG White said:
I think we would command a much higher fee for DJ, Bauer, Browne, Whiteman and especially Riis but they are probably the only ones worth a decent amount in todays market.

Its probably around the £20m mark IMO. Most of which is Riis.
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Yeah, it's very subjective obviously, and I tried to bias the prices based on how long they have left on their contracts. Riis is the hardest to value - some days he looks £10m, others £100k.

But I think we're clearly at least £50m shy of that old £70m squad valuation these days.
 
MBcha said:
How much is our squad that was once famously valued at 75m now really worth?

I've grouped players based on contract expiry date and obviously all these figures are my opinion only.

I've tried to take position, age, experience, overall ability, injury record and contract length into consideration and as such all of the players with contracts set to expire this summer I've valued at £0 as we wouldn't be able to get a fee for them. I have also assumed that those with a 1 year option will not be extended.

2022 Expiry ​
Estimated Value​
Oliver Lombard£0
Matthew Hudson£0
Connor Ripley£0
Paul Huntington£0
Bambo Diaby£0
Joe Rafferty£0
Lewis Coulton£0
Jack Baxter£0
Tom Barkhuizen£0
Scott Sinclair£0
Ethan Walker£0
Izzy Brown£0
Jamie Thomas£0
Jacob Hol-Wilk£0
Joe Rodwell-Grant£0

2023 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Josh Earl£600k
Greg Cunningham£300k
Liam Lindsay£400k
Matthew Olosunde£250k
Ryan Ledson£1.5m
Daniel Johnson£3m
Tom Bayliss£250k
Adam O'Reilly£40k
Josh Harrop£100k
Ched Evans£400k
Sean Maguire£500k

2024 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Andrew Hughes£2m
Patrick Bauer£2.5m
Alan Browne£3.5m
Ben Whiteman£3m
Lewis Leigh£70k
Brad Potts£1.5m

2025 Expiry​
Estimated Value​
Jordan Storey£2m
Ali McCann£3.5m
Emil Riis£5m

Total Estimated Squad Value £30.41m

There are clearly loads of factors that go into determining the value of a player, not least what the buying are prepared to pay or if they'd want to sign any of our players in the first place but I was just trying to figure out a ballpark value of our playing squad.

Im sure there are lots of values up there that posters will disagree with, I've tried to be as realistic as possible but have erred on the side of pessimistic overall with my valuations.

Thoughts?
Click to expand...
Drinking on a school night! 🤣
 
Only one with significant value would be Riis, at the end of the day hes scored nearly 20 goals this season so you could argue based on that hes worth at least £6m.

Browne/Whiteman/McCann/DJ around £1m.

Bauer/Hughes/Potts/Storey £500/750k.

If any of you can get money for Olosunde will you please come and manage my personal finances!

Also theres a joke about how many pounds Ripley is somewhere in there.
 
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