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Summer Transfer Window Analysis

Summer Transfer Window Analysis

stf4ever

Ridsdale's Retirement Party
Joined
Dec 29, 2009
Messages
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Location
with the 'rents
Before you start reading, this will probably be quite long winded, but I’m aiming to keep it as fair as possible.

Ridsdale Comments:

“By the time we get to the summer we will be strong, healthy and able to go for the targets we are looking for.”

“We've stocked a number of loan players, which means we will have a lot of free space in the 25 to try and target our first choices on a permanent basis; I think we'll be in great shape.”

“But if we can find the right player that can add value to our strike force, we will do so”

“Everyone says we need a striker and we know that.”

“There has always been a massive gap in terms of wages between the Premier League and Championship, what I’m finding now is there is an even bigger salary gap between the Championship and Leagues One and Two.”

Analysis:
The above are all comments from Ridsdale over the last 6 months or so. If you were to read these comments, you could be easily swayed into believing that this summer transfer market would be busy, regardless of any distrust that may have existed before. The message I got from these words were that January was somewhat of a trial run, we’ve loaned players to have a look at them, and that we will have a number of available positions to fill and we will be in a strong financial position to do that. The last quote is incredibly worrying if true, he should have known long before the 6th August 2021 that those teams below us in the league pyramid would struggle to pay the wages of our unwanted players. It is also worrying that our owner would rather have a player rot on the sidelines potentially damaging club morale rather than playing week in week out with a portion of his wages covered over what seems like principle.

Summer Incomings:
Daniel Iversen – Loan – Leicester City
Sepp Van Den Berg – Loan - Liverpool
Liam Lindsay – Undisclosed (Rumoured to be less than £100k) – Stoke City
Matthew Olosunde – Free - Rotherham
Ali McCann – Undisclosed (Rumoured to be around £1m) – St Johnstone
Josh Murphy – Loan - Cardiff
Izzy Brown – Free - Chelsea
Jamie Thomas – Free – Bamber Bridge

Kindly, I’ll add Greg Cunningham – Free – Cardiff and Ched Evans – Free – Fleetwood to the list as well, although they were really signed before the window started.

Analysis:
Absolutely delighted with the first two on the list, and exactly what PR promised in terms of seeing who we like from the January loans and getting them on board, two quality players who drastically improve the starting eleven.

Liam Lindsay is the opposite. We saw over the second half of last season that LL was incredibly limited. Rather than let him return to Stoke and replace with better quality we have gone forward with the transfer simply because we can get him for a fraction of the price of the other targets. Disappointing.

With Olosunde, the club has been rather unlucky. The player was high up on my personal recommendations for Fisher replacements and I think he is a very good player at this level. However, his record of being substituted from right back is rather troubling, especially now his fitness is being questioned due to injuring himself after 30 minutes in a friendly. Hopefully one that comes good.

Izzy Brown was a risk that predictably backfired, feel sorry for the lad but the club knew exactly all the risks involved and still went ahead with the deal, even though we were apparently in a strong position and shouldn’t have been needing to take those sorts of risks at all.

Jamie Thomas – Good luck to the lad but this is another example of surely we had better alternatives already in the pipeline. Another cheap punt hoping for a positive outcome, rather than scouting a target and beating others to their signature.

Greg and Ched really helped at the back end of last season but both seem to have drastically deteriorated over the summer. Was to be expected with Greg who has been plagued by injuries throughout his career, but hope we can put Ched’s opening day horror show down to playing through injury. Worryingly, they were only signed permanently because we signed 7 players on loan in January and couldn’t fit them all in the squad. We then proceeded to not bother playing either Molumby or Gordon, so it proved a pointless exercise.

McCann and Murphy – To me, they were panic signings to appease fans on deadline day. I can’t see where Murphy fits in, and think he will be like a fish out of water when playing upfront with Riis. McCann I don’t know anything about apart from everybody raving about him on here and on social media. I hope he can be a superb signing, but do think it is worth mentioning he’s probably played about 10 games in his career against comparable opposition to who he will now be facing.

Where on earth was the new striker we were told we were looking for? Why did it take until the last day of the transfer window to put some bids in for players? These are questions that must be answered.

Squad Depth:
As we look to be playing 5-3-2 this season, I thought I’d assess the depth to suit. I’ve included two players for every position where possible and tried to not include any player twice.

GK: Iversen, Rudd
RWB: Olosunde, Rafferty
RCB: VDB, Storey
CB: Bauer, Lindsay
LCB: Hughes
LWB: Earl, Cunningham
RCM: Ledson, Browne
LCM: Whiteman, McCann
AM: Johnson, Potts
ST: Riis, Sinclair
ST: Maguire, Evans

Analysis:
Very strong in the goalkeeping and midfield departments. We look incredibly poor at the back and think we will regret not improving that area. If Hughes or Bauer get injured, we’re going to seriously struggle replacing them. What is worrying is that only three players from the summer incomings automatically get into the starting eleven, and we finished last season with two of them already in there. Even more worrying is that there are a number of summer signings that don’t fit into the 23/24 and therefore just contribute more to the bloated squad we have. A number of players in the list above also are poor replacements. The drop off in right back, centre back and forward quality when players are out is very worrying. We have, however, when fit, an incredibly competitive starting eleven.

Final Comments:
Overall, I think it has been another disappointing window without a plan or a direction. We have so obviously set our stall out with 5-3-2 and then have signed players ad hoc without care for what formation we want to play (Murphy, Izzy Brown) as well as taking punts on low cost players (Lindsay, Thomas) instead of finding out and out quality. The window started very positively retaining the services of two key loan players and bringing in Olosunde, but has limped on since then, and came to action last night in an attempt to appease the fans.

It’s hard to direct criticism at a man putting millions into the club on a yearly basis, but those responsible for how it is spent need to address some issues. What’s the plan? How do we go forward? But most importantly, we had a squad a few years ago that finished 7th containing the likes of Robinson, Hugill, Pearson, Davies, Fisher, Cunningham etc who were all under 24/25 and improving on a yearly basis. How the hell have we gone so far backwards from there that relegation is a serious threat? How is the squad value now less than those 6 players combined?

To suggest that this window has been a success is a stretch in my opinion. To say that those who disagree with PR have egg on their face this morning is a joke. Its time for fans to make a decision. Are you going to be continually appeased by those in charge doing the bare minimum, or are you going to stand up and demand accountability? Unfortunately, it appears like its going to be the former. We’ve only got ourselves to blame when we get another “I know best” lecture from our advisor.

PRs been here over a decade. I’m still not sure what the plan is.
 
Very well put together and a lot of it I agree with, but then it all comes down to your perspective that those in charge are fools and it’s easy to get it right and you know how.....🙄

If only life were that simple 😂
 
Solid post and correct imo on most points, my biggest concern is the manager and i feel that there isnt the trust in FM and whether he will still be here in 6 weeks time.. lets be honest if P'boro had equalised, Ledo hadn't scored a worldy things could be different with FM now on his way..
FM's 352 532 WB formation hasnt been fully backed by PR is the way i see it.. i think the signings are covering all bases, the extra winger, lack or "proper" WB's is the problem.. Cunningham is never a WB, but a good LB. VDB and Earl both coming good has papered over the cracks in the system..
I also think Lindsay is taking an unfair amount of stick and may yet prove a lot of folk wrong under a flat back 4.

Certainly not our worst window ever by a long shot!!!
 
Obviously a lot depends on how effective Murphy and McCann are between now and, say, January. It will be fairer and more accurate to make an assessment at that stage.
It is fair to say there are too many high earners still on the books that are not providing value for money and hopefully lessons will be learnt in terms of some of the baffling contract extensions that have occurred recently.
Over the past few years we have signed too many players who have been a fitness risk including some (Reid and Grimshaw spring to mind) who needed surgery when they arrived.
 
Solid post and correct imo on most points, my biggest concern is the manager and i feel that there isnt the trust in FM and whether he will still be here in 6 weeks time.. lets be honest if P'boro had equalised, Ledo hadn't scored a worldy things could be different with FM now on his way..
FM's 352 532 WB formation hasnt been fully backed by PR is the way i see it.. i think the signings are covering all bases, the extra winger, lack or "proper" WB's is the problem.. Cunningham is never a WB, but a good LB. VDB and Earl both coming good has papered over the cracks in the system..
I also think Lindsay is taking an unfair amount of stick and may yet prove a lot of folk wrong under a flat back 4.

Certainly not our worst window ever by a long shot!!!

You can say that about every game though, what if VDB had been a yard quicker vs Huddersfield etc.

Not sure why Earl playing in a position that suits him is papering over the cracks? There's been no talk of him going out on loan.

I agree Lindsay seems to be a fall guy for some. I prefer Bauer in there, not least because he makes Storey better but Lindsay hasn't been as bad as made out by some.

McAvoy in charge, league only:
P13
W7
D2
L4

You'd have to go back to 9th December for us to win 7 games under Neil (working back from his sacking), that's 22 games.
 
You can say that about every game though, what if VDB had been a yard quicker vs Huddersfield etc.

Not sure why Earl playing in a position that suits him is papering over the cracks? There's been no talk of him going out on loan.

I agree Lindsay seems to be a fall guy for some. I prefer Bauer in there, not least because he makes Storey better but Lindsay hasn't been as bad as made out by some.

McAvoy in charge, league only:
P13
W7
D2
L4

You'd have to go back to 9th December for us to win 7 games under Neil (working back from his sacking), that's 22 games.
I understand what you are saying but IMO if we decided to play WB’s the important thing is to actually have WB’s
It does seem that after 4 or 5 games VDB and Earl are looking decent but more by luck than good management..
 
One of our worst ever windows. Only positive is this McCann fella. Hopefully hits the ground running.
Got to better than the Jan when we only signed Sinclair or last September onlysigning Emil, better for sure but we were so poor for the previous 3 years if we are to undo the damage we probably need 2 more windows

we also need to get our better players to stay, so lots to do, but we do seem to be trying a different approach, loans for example
 
Very well put together and a lot of it I agree with, but then it all comes down to your perspective that those in charge are fools and it’s easy to get it right and you know how.....🙄

If only life were that simple 😂

Nowhere have I said that I know better. And nowhere have I stated that those in charge are fools.

If you were largely responsible for the loss of asset value, the reduction in performance and deteriorating relationship with your customer base over a period of at least 4 years would questions not be asked of you?
 
Excellent analysis though I don't think we spent £1m+ on McCann just to forestall a few critical posts here - that signing looks like longterm planning for when Johnson and Browne have been lured away unless we do make the Premiership. As for Murphy - I'm not certain what he brings that we don't get from Sinclair but it seems that he and Riis could give us an exceptionally pacy strike partnership. If we paid less than £100k for Lindsay then that is peanuts in the modern game and every club makes signings that don't work out - in any case as long as Bauer is fit then it is not something we need to worry about and ultimately Bauer's longterm back-up/replacement is Storey. You are right that Cunningham is noticeably less effective as a wing-back this season than last which is why he should now be regarded now as Hughes' rival for the left of the back three position. As for Evans well just maybe he is a bit more injured than has been let on and that is why we are looking at Wickham. There is perhaps just a possibility that Evans could be a surprise omission from the 25-man squad.
 
A lot to delve into there, but if you think the McCann and Murphy deals were a) only done to appease fans and b) only kicked off yesterday then I think you'll be sadly mistaken on both.
Maybe McCann was always a man they were after but seems like Murphy was at least 5th choice if yesterdays reports about being turned down by 4 other players is correct.
 
Excellent analysis though I don't think we spent £1m+ on McCann just to forestall a few critical posts here - that signing looks like longterm planning for when Johnson and Browne have been lured away unless we do make the Premiership. As for Murphy - I'm not certain what he brings that we don't get from Sinclair but it seems that he and Riis could give us an exceptionally pacy strike partnership. If we paid less than £100k for Lindsay then that is peanuts in the modern game and every club makes signings that don't work out - in any case as long as Bauer is fit then it is not something we need to worry about and ultimately Bauer's longterm back-up/replacement is Storey. You are right that Cunningham is noticeably less effective as a wing-back this season than last which is why he should now be regarded now as Hughes' rival for the left of the back three position. As for Evans well just maybe he is a bit more injured than has been let on and that is why we are looking at Wickham. There is perhaps just a possibility that Evans could be a surprise omission from the 25-man squad.

McCann is likely as close as we can get to signing a Pearson replacement.
 
Good post. Will give some of my thoughts too, then it will be good to focus on the upcoming matches for a while rather than the transfer window !

I think however many players we'd signed yesterday, be it loads of players or nobody, my views on our transfer policy would still be the same. The last few years transfer wise have not been good enough, and that has now played out on the pitch with a decline in the quality of performances, and a bunch of players being sat at the club who we simply cannot get rid of. I'd be more than happy to change my views on this, but it will take time for the work we have done in this window to bear fruit. Generally you see the results of good or bad recruitment a year or two down the line. So we will see if what we have done has been up to scratch as the season develops.

I still think our way of working is very slapdash and random, and lacking in strategy. I rate Murphy, but the club essentially failed to secure a striker, that they seemingly thought was all we were lacking, and then reverted to signing someone who is primarily a winger. As I've just said on another thread, I am happy for us to wait for the right striker if that is what it takes, and not sign one for the sake of it. But to seemingly focus your strategy for weeks on getting a centre forward, only to not get one, is far from ideal. Thankfully it hasn't prevented us doing a good deal for another area of the pitch like McCann, but I wonder if this apparent (imo) tunnel vision towards only being a striker away from being competitive is particularly helpful. Especially when you can't really afford one anyway.

Despite all the talk about strikers, my main concern about the current squad, and our recruitment this summer, is definitely the defence. I'm glad we've finally seriously attempted to replace Pearson, but we certainly haven't replaced Davies. I don't think we have addressed the defensive problems that came up post-January last season. I'd hoped that we would recruit well enough at the back to be able to use a back 4 if the manager wished, but I don't think that has happened yet and we still look pretty fragile at the back and locked into a back 5. Sepp is a good player and Olosunde on paper seemed like a good signing so we'll see how he does, but 2 year deals for Lindsay and Cunningham who were essentially stop gap signings already look unwise, and I think we could've easily found better if we'd looked elsewhere for a centre back and a left back. Maybe if we had, we might be able to play a back 4. We have a lot of defenders out of contract next summer, at which point I would hope to see a rebuild and see the club invest in building a defence for the next 3-4 years, rather than constantly plugging holes in this area with cheap options.
 
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