OP
Just re-read that, should be Bristol are 11th on HOME form
Statistics and the new season
OP
So there we go, another 7 points from 6 games month. Knocked out of the FA Cup at the first hurdle didn't help. We are now 5 points behind the target I suggested at the start of this thread, 13 points behind where we should be for 2nd and 4 points behind where we should be for play-offs. We hjave the 7th best Away record (P15 W5 D6 L4) but are 14th on Home games (P15 W6 D5 L4). Based on the form in the last 8 games we are 19th with 8 points from those 8 games. There is no doubting that we had some tough fixtures, but the battering our goal difference has taken could end up being significant. S, to February 5 matches - 3 of them at home. Pompey have only won 2 of 13 away games and Watford 3 out of 14. Millwall however have won 5 and drawn 5 of their 14 away games. Away, first of the Plastics, they've won 3 and drawn 5 of their 16 home games. Swansea however have won 7 and drawn 4 of their home games. I dont think it unreasonable that we win at least 3 of these games and draw the other 2.
I do think though that its a tough ask to get back to challenging for play offs, I think we would need to win all 5 this month to be in with a shout. 13 points might do it depending on what Wrexham and Derby do.
I do think though that its a tough ask to get back to challenging for play offs, I think we would need to win all 5 this month to be in with a shout. 13 points might do it depending on what Wrexham and Derby do.
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We're 4 points outside the play offs (dropping 2 points in the 92nd minute to Ipswich was costly) but I'm fairly sure 12 points out 15 in February would see us back in the play offs.
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We don't need to have league winning form this month to be in with a shout of playoffs.
We ideally need a decent month, but other teams will drop points too. 3rd-5th are pulling away a little now though. But Wrexham play Milwall, Ipswich and Bristol this month. Derby play Ipswich, Watford and Hull this month.
Milwall have a run of 5 out of 6 against us, Hull, Derby, Ipswich and Middlesbrough coming up end of Feb through March and into April.
Still a lot that will happen. It'll be tough though. A lot of decent, closely contested teams fighting for just a few spots.
A bad month this month though and it would be quite the uphill struggle.
Optimistic for a side with 2 wins in 9
We will only know the reality after the Millwall game although you may be right.
Hoping the new signings and the imminent return of Iversen may put a spring in our step.
Where there’s hope etc!
It would be nice if we could beat Rovers and get a point at Swansea..
That would give us a better yield , 9 from 15
OP
I think you're being a little pessimistic, but have nothing concrete to say you are likely to be wrong. I think we could win the first 3. Having said that I've never won Super6 or beaten Bill Hill significantly so what do I know 😂
That would be a play off level of points.
Swansea has been a shocker of a ground for us in recent seasons so would be happy with a point there and it’s always good to beat Rovers.
I’d settle for that ( just about) as long as you got 5 less points in the 5 game period 😃
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Swap the Portsmouth and Milwall results round. Rather give points to Portsmouth near the relegation than Milwall above us 😂
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I think the Millwall fan posting said predictions might not be keen on that one
I don't remember that being part of the agreement!
It’s an amendment to it! Got to keep you in our sight 🙂
OP
Even using just this season it's only 36.67%. What worries me more is that he only averages 1.28 points per game (1.47 this season). 43% of games under Hecky have been draws (37% this season). As much as the football has been better than of late, even on the potato field, entertainment value doesn't have a column in the League table. Recent Manager League win % :- Moyes 48.5%, Davies 46%, Grayson 42.4%, Irvine 40.4%, Simpson 40.3%, Lowe 38.1%, McAvoy 38%, Neil 37.5%, C Brown 33%, P Brown 31%, Ferguson 23.6%, Westley 22.6%.
OP
OK, so I'm now at the "I wish I'd never started this" stage. 5 points from 3 home games and 2 away in February is the sort of form you expect from teams being relegated. We are now between 9 and 22 points behind my confected target which started this thread. We are, luckily (after 35 games) 10 points above where we would need to be to avoid relegation. To be fair we are safe. The average points for 22nd (since re-organization in 92/93) is 46.42 points. The highest was 54 points (Peterborough 2012/3) and the lowest was 37 points (also Peterborough 2021/2).
If you want my guess (you're getting it anyway) Coventry have it in the bag, 'Boro, Ipswich, Hull and Millwall will fill 2nd to 5th, I've a feeling Southampton will pip Wrexham for 6th. Us ------- somewhere between 60 and 65 points - League position, frankly between 7th and 21st who cares.